Tag Archives: QFEI1.MI

Another update on my basket of Italian real estate funds

Four years ago I bought a basket of various Italian real estate funds because I liked the combination of a 50% discount to NAV and the fact that these funds all have a fixed maturity date. When I started tracking these funds there were 24 different entities with a total NAV of €4.0 billion. Two years ago that number had shrunk to 21 different funds with a NAV of €2.6 billion and now just 14 funds are remaining with a total NAV of €1.5 billion. It’s taking quite some time to sell the assets of these funds, but they are liquidating. At the same time the average discount of the remaining funds has shrunk a little bit, but is still quite high at 41%:

So far my investment in this basket has worked out to my satisfaction. As of today my internal rate of return stands at 14.7% which I think is pretty okay for real estate. While all the funds I bought have appreciated in price, most of the return can be attributed to just two funds that have now been fully liquidated. While things have worked out for me, just blindly buying all these funds would probably have been a bit less successful. Most funds have been quite successful in slowly selling their assets close to NAV, but some have sold them at sizable discounts. The Obelisco fund liquidated this year, writing down their NAV to zero, and without making a single distribution to shareholders…

Another fund that is close to liquidating is Unicredito Immobiliare Uno. In the latest annual report the management company reports that they have received offers from multiple investors to acquire the remaining real-estate portfolio of the fund. I think it’s quite likely they will be able to sell their remaining assets close to NAV, and thus with the discount remaining above 20% I think it’s an attractive bet. It’s my only new position in my basket of Italian real estate funds, all the other ones in the list below have been in my possession for multiple years:

Ticker Purchase Date entry Sell Date dividend Price/Exit Return
QFUNO.MI Mar 1, 2019 727.00 765.00 5.3%
QFSEC.MI Mar 27, 2017 260.10 66.5 248.00 20.8%
QFARI.MI Mar 27, 2017 725.50 860.00 18.4%
QFSOC.MI Mar 27, 2017 237.30 27.00 244.15 5.5%
QFAL.MI Feb 26, 2015 1,150.00 278.00 1,457.00 26.6%
QFARE.MI Feb 23, 2015 1,120.00 575.50 860.00 23.4%
QFDI.MI Feb 26, 2015 41.01 85.18 107.5%
QFEI1.MI Mar 2, 2015 720.00 Mar 27, 2017 450.00 948.50 93.8%
QFID.MI Feb 27, 2015 70.90 3.50 95.25 18.4%
QFIMM.MI Feb 27, 2015 1675.00 1002.00 1,256.20 34.6%
QFVIG.MI Feb 27, 2015 1635.00 1,751.95 554.00 40.9%


Author is long everything in the table that hasn’t liquidated yet

Update on my basket of Italian real estate funds

Two years ago I bought a basket of Italian real estate funds with a simple thesis: they are all liquidating (because they all have a fixed end date) and they are trading at a big discount to net asset value. Since then that thesis has been playing out slowly. Back then there were a total of 24 funds with a total net asset value of €4.0 billion. Thanks to asset sales (and also some write-downs) there are now 21 funds remaining with a total asset value of €2.6 billion. The total market valuation is €1.4 billion for an overall discount of 46%, down just slightly compared to the 48% discount two years ago.

While the overall discount has remained roughly constant there have been some significant shifts between individual funds. I bought for example Europa Immobiliare N1 at a 54% discount, but thanks to some successful asset sales the discount is down to 14% (pro-forma for a large liquidation dividend that will be paid next month). Other stocks have seen their discount grow. Two years ago I thought that the Atlantic 1 fund was richly valued at a discount of just 24%, now it’s actually one of the cheapest funds with a 58% discount. I have strongly considered adding this one to my basket, but so far the relative high leverage (50% LTV) has been holding me back.

I did decide to sell Europa Immobiliare N1 though, and added a couple of other positions. A new addition to my basket is Amundi RE Italia. They haven’t made a lot of progress with liquidating so far and incurred some asset write-downs, but the discount is huge at 61%. My other additions are Securfondo and Socrate. Securfondo has been making good progress with liquidating and has only one building remaining, while Socrate also started with selling assets. A great site to keep track of what is happening in this sector of the market is this one. It’s Italian, but it keep track of asset sales, financial reports and other developments related to these funds.

My current basket of Italian REIFs and their performance so far looks as follows:

Ticker Purchase Date entry Sell Date dividend Price/Exit Return
QFSEC.MI Mar 27, 2017 260.10 259.90 -0.1%
QFARI.MI Mar 27, 2017 725.50 724.00 -0.2%
QFSOC.MI Mar 27, 2017 237.30 245.00 3.2%
QFAL.MI Feb 26, 2015 1,150.00 97.00 1,329.00 24.0%
QFARE.MI Feb 23, 2015 1,120.00 168.50 950.00 -0.1%
QFDI.MI Feb 26, 2015 41.01 62.65 52.8%
QFEI1.MI Mar 2, 2015 720.00 Mar 27, 2017 450.00 948.5 94.2%
QFID.MI Feb 27, 2015 70.90 3.50 77.65 14.5%
QFIMM.MI Feb 27, 2015 1675.00 1400.00 -17.4%
QFVIG.MI Feb 27, 2015 1635.00 1395.45 850.00 37.3%


Author is long everything in the table

A look at Fondo Alpha: an Italian REIF at a 65% discount

One of the cheapest Italian real estate investment funds is Fondo Alpha that is managed IDeA FIMIT SGR, one of the biggest players in this space with a total of 5 funds that are listed on the Italian stock exchange. Besides Fonda Alpha, they also manage Fondo Beta, Fondo Delta, Atlantic 1 and Atlantic 2. Fondo Alpha and Delta are the only two trading at a significant discount to NAV though. Fondo Alpha has an official expiry date of Jun 27, 2030 which is so far in the future that I almost immediately dropped the fund from my research list, but that would have been a bit premature since the fund has as stated goal an orderly liquidation by the end of December 2019. That’s something I can work with, and as visible it’s pretty high on my list that is based on the unleveraged discount to appraised property values:

Overview iREITs

Compared to the other funds Fondo Alpha looks pretty decent when looking at the high-level statistics. Occupancy isn’t very high at 64%, but even at this low occupancy level the properties are valued at a 6.4% gross yield and there is a minimal amount of leverage which implies that investors are effectively buying them at a 17.5% yield thanks to the 65% discount to NAV that the fund is trading at. Of course, when you start to dive a bit deeper you start to encounter the ugly sides of the story, but that is to be expected: otherwise it wouldn’t be trading at a 65% discount. As far as I could figure it out the fund has basically two problems:

  1. A large part of their portfolio is leased to the Italian government. In most countries that would be great since it should be a creditworthy counterparty who would often lease for the long-term. In Italy things are a bit different since the fund has trouble collecting their receivables. Ironically the Ministry of Economy and Finance is the biggest problem.
  2. A lot of their properties have short term leases. This might mean lower occupancy figures in the future and/or lower gross rents if new contracts are negotiated at lower rates.


In the 2014 annual report the fund provides an overview of their property portfolio that I have replicated below after throwing it through Google Translate. Far from perfect, but it should be good enough to understand the important stuff:

Fondo Alpha properties

As visible the government has mostly short-term leases while the other lessees have lease terms between 3 and 7 years. Based on property values 43.5% of the portfolio has leases that expire within one year. These properties are occupied by various government entities and represent 56% of rental income. The other half of the portfolio (ignoring unoccupied buildings) have longer term leases with an average duration around 4 years. While a 64% occupancy figure is of course not very good they were at least able to replace most of the leases that expired in 2014. Google Translate once again (emphasis mine):

As of December 31, 2014, sixty-five rental locations are present (leases and severance of employment), of which fifty-conductors related to private and twelve governments. During the year 2014 there has been a decrease of five rental locations as were signed nine new leases and simultaneously it ceased fourteen. The recesses have occurred as a result of communications in relation to both the serious reasons, that the course of the natural expiration of the contracts. They are also being finalized some negotiations aimed at the signing of four new contracts with private and public conductors.

The amount for the year 2014 of the royalties, bonuses employment and compensation by way of compensation to the Fund recognized by some wires that were contested the serious reasons legitimizing the exercise of the right of early termination, total 24 677. 490 euro, whose 64.26% is attributable to the Public Administration. The above-mentioned figure shows a decrease of 6.54% compared to the same information of 2013, equal to 26,405,521 Euros.


As already mentioned the fund has trouble collecting the money that it is owed. This wouldn’t be a surprise if you have a bunch of struggling companies as lessees, but apparently the Italian government isn’t a lot better since they represent the majority of overdue receivables:

As of December 31, 2014 the amount of loans to lessees for invoices issued, net of invoices to be issued and the debt, is € 10,134,915, noting an increase of ‘1.65% compared to the figure at 31 December 2013 amounted to EUR 9,970,103. This increase is attributable to an increase of the delinquency of the conductors public.

With reference to loans to tenants for overdue invoices over 30 days was recorded at the end of the year 2014 amounted to 8,520,259 Euros a given, a decrease of 3.88% compared to 31 December 2013 amounted to 8,864,492 euro. Of this amount, approximately EUR 5,939,709, accounting for 69.71% of the total, is attributable to the conductors of these public and, for the most part, the Ministry of Economy and Finance for a total amount of EUR 5,825,003 .

Finally, with respect to receivables from tenants for overdue invoices over 90 days, the figure at 31 December 2014 amounted to € 7,690,517, an increase of 1.54% compared to 31 December 2013 amounted to 7,573,539 euro.

The fund already has a provision of almost €5 million for bad debts. If I understand the following correctly the fund seems to have a successful track record with respect to collecting payments through the juridical system:

Continues the business of credit management promoted by the SGR, through the systematic use of coercive recovery of loans from the Fund, including by the courts. Relating to these activities of judicial recovery, it is noted that, as of December 31, 2014, the total amount of loans to tenants, both belonging to the Public Administration that the conductors private, subject to the injunction amounts to 54,056,009 Euros. Of this amount are recovered at the same date approximately 45,121,850 Euros, equal to ‘83.47% of the amount subject to legal action.


The downside of collecting payments through the juridical system is that the company incurs high costs. Paying a management fee of 1.13% sounds doable to me, especially since the fund should be liquidated in a couple of years, but mainly thanks to attorney and court costs the total expense ratio for 2012 was a whopping 5.10%:

Fondo Alpha TER


I usually don’t discuss taxes on my blog because my tax situation is probably not the same as yours, and in most cases I don’t need to worry about them because I’m effectively tax-exempt. This is not the case for Fondo Alpha and other Italian REIFs though since normal dividends are taxed at a 26% rate. Luckily – as far as I understand – dividends that are a return of capital aren’t taxed, but because Fondo’s Alpha NAV is €3679 while the par value of the shares is €2500 there is potentially a big tax liability. I don’t think it really matters though since you can buy the stock at €1254. Would be great news if liquidation payments would exceed €2500/share!

Conclusion (and other ramblings)

Fundo Alpha appears to be a mediocre real estate fund: they certainly don’t own prime property with blue-chip names as tenants. At the same time, I don’t think they are disastrously horrible, and that’s what the market is implying. With the fund trading at a 65% discount to NAV, while employing almost no leverage I think there is a ton of room for unfavorable events while still realizing a satisfactory return.

There are probably going to be properties that require further write-downs, there are probably going to be receivables that they can’t collect, you will incur management costs and other operating expenses in the meantime while it is unclear if they can liquidate before 31 December 2019. It isn’t pretty! But the current discount is HUGE and they should generate a decent amount of rental income in the meantime as well. I also expect that they will be able to monetize some part of the portfolio in the next couple of years, and some early return of capital should do wonders for the internal rate of return of this investment.

As a foreign investor in Italy, who doesn’t speak the language, I would never buy a huge position in a single fund because I’m probably at an informational disadvantage compared to the locals. At the same time, I also think this is the kind of market structure that can create opportunities. There is probably not a lot of foreign capital interested in researching illiquid Italian funds that are targeted at retail investors while those retail investors might not be willing to sink another euro in a bunch of funds that have returned approximately zero the last decade.

To be honest: there was actually a bit of foreign capital interested in this market last year. Blackstone launched a tender offer to acquire 50% + 1 share of Fondo Atlantic 1. In the end, they dropped the requirement to get a majority stake and bought 39.5% of the share capital while increasing the offer price in multiple steps from an initial €295.55/share to €335/share. The shares are now trading at €384 which represents a discount of just 19% to NAV.

A second tender offer was launched by Capstone Equities Capital for 33% of the shares of Europa Immobiliare N1. The tender offer was for €710/share, but the tender offer was not successful since just a handful of shares were tendered. Shares are currently trading at €716. The fairness opinion that was given by PWC as a response to the tender offer was, in my opinion, very interesting since it was not only based on a simple NAV evaluation, but also a DDM with a discount rate of 10 and 11 percent. Big Google Translate quote:

After analyzing the information contained in the documents made available by the Bidders, the asset management company, in respect of the management strategies and in line with the findings contained in the reasoned opinion of PWC, has reputedly NOT REASONABLE the Consideration proposed by the Bidders, as the same presents a discount of 54.5% to NAV at 30 June 2014 and does not appear in line with the findings of the DDM applied to the Business Plan 2014-2017.

In the light of the opinion expressed by PWC:

  • based on the Simple Method asset value (NAV), the net asset value of the Fund to the Reference Date amounted to € 1559.56;
  • on the basis of the Methodology DDM, the value of the portion of the Fund on the Date of Reference would be included in a range between approximately € 1,095.00 and € 1,127.00 with a discount on the value of the NAV between 27.8% and 29,8%.

Given the high discount rate used in their DDM valuation I think that the result is probably reasonable and *surprise, surprise* their result coincides with my view. These funds deserve to trade at a 20%+, and perhaps even a 30%+, discount. But if you buy them at a 50%+ discount you get a great deal as long as you have the patience to wait (at least) a couple of years.


Long Fondo Alpha, Europa Immobiliare N1 and other Italian REIFs